# STAT 701: Applied Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control I | UW–Madison

[View on UW Courses](https://uwcourses.com/courses/STAT_701)

## Dataset

### revision

e243353dcb7d79b7247ced91d69443ef4c2a6349

### repository

twangodev/uwcourses

### schema version

6

### importer version

7

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### built at

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### courses

8951

### current instructors

5754

### limited

false

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### term

1272

### departments

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| INTEGART  | 7     |
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| OCCTHER   | 39    |
| ONCOLOGY  | 14    |
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| PATH-BIO  | 29    |
| PEDIAT    | 26    |
| PHARMACY  | 31    |
| PHILOS    | 77    |
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| PHYTHER   | 37    |
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| PORTUG    | 33    |
| PSYCH     | 101   |
| PSYCHIAT  | 22    |
| PUBAFFR   | 54    |
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| RADIOL    | 11    |
| REALEST   | 41    |
| RELIGST   | 90    |
| RHABMED   | 9     |
| RMI       | 24    |
| RP\&SE    | 102   |
| S\&APHM   | 17    |
| SCANDST   | 73    |
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| SOC       | 149   |
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| SOILSCI   | 46    |
| SPANISH   | 83    |
| SRMED     | 21    |
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| STDYABRD  | 52    |
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| SURGERY   | 25    |
| SURGSCI   | 33    |
| THEATRE   | 91    |
| URBRPL    | 60    |
| UROLOGY   | 5     |
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## course

### run id

20260907T155543-ce3781c4

### semester

1272

### observed at

2026-09-07 15:55:43.033547+00:00

### record version id

c3667663d1bd701b0e88f49701cc53b28df84612dfd63fed00534c187a900850

### course id

STAT 701

### course uid

course\_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8

### catalog version id

854403f3f4254a78dc94a24d12bc50f64f68e59a70a7edbdeec41d5068f026f6

### course number

701

### subjects

* STAT

### title

APPLIED TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, FORECASTING AND CONTROL I

### description

Theory and application of discrete time series models illustrated with forecasting problems. Principles of iterative model building. Representation of dynamic relations by difference equations. Autoregressive integrated Moving Average models. Identification, fitting, diagnostic checking of models. Seasonal model application to forecasting in business, economics, ecology, and engineering used at each stage, which the student analyzes using computer programs which have been specially written and extensively tested.

### requirements text

Graduate/professional standing

### credits min

3

### credits max

3

### credit offering ids

* 1272:932:018489

### llm job id

enrich-8b774950c2b6adfdc46d1b82

### llm output id

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### llm model

nvidia/Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-NVFP4

### llm model revision

1355db6a052410cfd62085d94b58866fd0f2c3c5

### llm task version

14

### llm search status

valid

### llm summary

STAT 701 covers the theory and application of discrete time series models, focusing on forecasting, model building, and diagnostic checking.

### llm topics

* Dynamic relations by difference equations
* Autoregressive integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models
* Seasonal model application

### llm skills

* Theory and application of discrete time series models
* Principles of iterative model building
* Identification, fitting, and diagnostic checking of models
* Seasonal model application to forecasting

### llm assumed background

None recorded.

### llm search phrases

* time series analysis
* forecasting models
* ARIMA models
* statistical modeling
* difference equations

### llm requirements status

valid

### llm student summary status

valid

### llm experience status

insufficient\_evidence

### catalog variants

None recorded.

### student summary

#### context hash

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#### course id

STAT 701

#### current instructors

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```

#### difficulty workload

None recorded.

#### errors

None recorded.

#### historical context

None recorded.

#### message

No course-specific reviews available

#### offered

true

#### profile hash

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#### quick take

Recent recorded grades — Spring 2022: 3.88 GPA, 94.1% A/AB (n=17 letter grades); Fall 2023: 4.00 GPA, 100.0% A/AB (n=11 letter grades); Spring 2025: 3.67 GPA, 77.8% A/AB (n=18 letter grades).

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```

#### student experience

None recorded.

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#### teaching history

CHRISTOPHER GEOGA is recorded teaching in Fall 2023, Spring 2025. Recorded history may be incomplete and does not establish a future schedule.

```json
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#### term id

1272

#### term name

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#### version

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### requirements

#### nodes

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#### notes

None recorded.

#### root

n0

#### status

parsed

### instructors

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| ------------------------------------ | ---------- | ---------------------- | --------------- | ------------------ | ----------------- | --------------- | -------------------------------- | -------------------------------- | ------------------------------- |
| instructor\_7eca2811645c15f0e8db796e | enrollment | geoga                  | netid           | source\_identified | Christopher Geoga | GEOGA\@WISC.EDU | 2026-09-07 15:55:43.033547+00:00 | 2026-09-07 15:55:43.033547+00:00 | /instructors/CHRISTOPHER\_GEOGA |

### offerings

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### sections

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```

### grade instructors

```json
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      "counts": [
        65,
        18,
        14,
        6,
        5,
        2,
        0
      ],
      "sections": 12
    },
    "instructor_url": "/instructors/CHRISTOPHER_GEOGA--instructor_a6ceb9dbcbb9539d970f1bbb"
  },
  {
    "instructor_uid": "instructor_7eca2811645c15f0e8db796e",
    "source": "enrollment",
    "source_instructor_id": "geoga",
    "identity_basis": "netid",
    "identity_status": "source_identified",
    "name": "Christopher Geoga",
    "email": "GEOGA@WISC.EDU",
    "first_observed_at": "2026-09-07 15:55:43.033547+00:00",
    "last_observed_at": "2026-09-07 15:55:43.033547+00:00",
    "instructor_url": "/instructors/CHRISTOPHER_GEOGA"
  }
]
```

### grades

```json
[
  {
    "run_id": "20260907T155543-ce3781c4",
    "semester": "1272",
    "observed_at": "2026-09-07 15:55:43.033547+00:00",
    "course_id": "STAT 701",
    "course_uid": "course_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8",
    "term_id": "1074",
    "term_name": "Spring 2007",
    "instructors": [
      "Jun Zhu"
    ],
    "a": 7,
    "ab": 6,
    "b": 4,
    "bc": 1,
    "c": 0,
    "d": 0,
    "f": 0,
    "satisfactory": 1,
    "unsatisfactory": 0,
    "credit": 0,
    "no_credit": 0,
    "passed": 0,
    "incomplete": 0,
    "no_work": 0,
    "not_reported": 0,
    "other": 0,
    "total": 19,
    "source_aliases": [
      "STAT 701"
    ]
  },
  {
    "run_id": "20260907T155543-ce3781c4",
    "semester": "1272",
    "observed_at": "2026-09-07 15:55:43.033547+00:00",
    "course_id": "STAT 701",
    "course_uid": "course_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8",
    "term_id": "1112",
    "term_name": "Fall 2010",
    "instructors": [
      "Yazhen Wang"
    ],
    "a": 25,
    "ab": 0,
    "b": 3,
    "bc": 0,
    "c": 0,
    "d": 0,
    "f": 0,
    "satisfactory": 0,
    "unsatisfactory": 0,
    "credit": 0,
    "no_credit": 0,
    "passed": 0,
    "incomplete": 0,
    "no_work": 0,
    "not_reported": 0,
    "other": 0,
    "total": 28,
    "source_aliases": [
      "STAT 701"
    ]
  },
  {
    "run_id": "20260907T155543-ce3781c4",
    "semester": "1272",
    "observed_at": "2026-09-07 15:55:43.033547+00:00",
    "course_id": "STAT 701",
    "course_uid": "course_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8",
    "term_id": "1182",
    "term_name": "Fall 2017",
    "instructors": [
      "FANGFANG WANG"
    ],
    "a": 15,
    "ab": 7,
    "b": 0,
    "bc": 0,
    "c": 0,
    "d": 0,
    "f": 0,
    "satisfactory": 0,
    "unsatisfactory": 0,
    "credit": 0,
    "no_credit": 0,
    "passed": 0,
    "incomplete": 0,
    "no_work": 0,
    "not_reported": 0,
    "other": 0,
    "total": 22,
    "source_aliases": [
      "STAT 701"
    ]
  },
  {
    "run_id": "20260907T155543-ce3781c4",
    "semester": "1272",
    "observed_at": "2026-09-07 15:55:43.033547+00:00",
    "course_id": "STAT 701",
    "course_uid": "course_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8",
    "term_id": "1192",
    "term_name": "Fall 2018",
    "instructors": [
      "FANGFANG WANG"
    ],
    "a": 11,
    "ab": 14,
    "b": 2,
    "bc": 0,
    "c": 1,
    "d": 0,
    "f": 0,
    "satisfactory": 0,
    "unsatisfactory": 0,
    "credit": 0,
    "no_credit": 0,
    "passed": 0,
    "incomplete": 0,
    "no_work": 0,
    "not_reported": 0,
    "other": 0,
    "total": 28,
    "source_aliases": [
      "STAT 701"
    ]
  },
  {
    "run_id": "20260907T155543-ce3781c4",
    "semester": "1272",
    "observed_at": "2026-09-07 15:55:43.033547+00:00",
    "course_id": "STAT 701",
    "course_uid": "course_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8",
    "term_id": "1224",
    "term_name": "Spring 2022",
    "instructors": [
      "Zheng Zhang"
    ],
    "a": 16,
    "ab": 0,
    "b": 0,
    "bc": 0,
    "c": 1,
    "d": 0,
    "f": 0,
    "satisfactory": 0,
    "unsatisfactory": 0,
    "credit": 0,
    "no_credit": 0,
    "passed": 0,
    "incomplete": 0,
    "no_work": 0,
    "not_reported": 0,
    "other": 0,
    "total": 17,
    "source_aliases": [
      "STAT 701"
    ]
  },
  {
    "run_id": "20260907T155543-ce3781c4",
    "semester": "1272",
    "observed_at": "2026-09-07 15:55:43.033547+00:00",
    "course_id": "STAT 701",
    "course_uid": "course_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8",
    "term_id": "1242",
    "term_name": "Fall 2023",
    "instructors": [
      "Christopher Geoga"
    ],
    "a": 11,
    "ab": 0,
    "b": 0,
    "bc": 0,
    "c": 0,
    "d": 0,
    "f": 0,
    "satisfactory": 0,
    "unsatisfactory": 0,
    "credit": 0,
    "no_credit": 0,
    "passed": 0,
    "incomplete": 0,
    "no_work": 0,
    "not_reported": 0,
    "other": 0,
    "total": 11,
    "source_aliases": [
      "STAT 701"
    ]
  },
  {
    "run_id": "20260907T155543-ce3781c4",
    "semester": "1272",
    "observed_at": "2026-09-07 15:55:43.033547+00:00",
    "course_id": "STAT 701",
    "course_uid": "course_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8",
    "term_id": "1254",
    "term_name": "Spring 2025",
    "instructors": [
      "Christopher Geoga"
    ],
    "a": 10,
    "ab": 4,
    "b": 4,
    "bc": 0,
    "c": 0,
    "d": 0,
    "f": 0,
    "satisfactory": 0,
    "unsatisfactory": 0,
    "credit": 0,
    "no_credit": 0,
    "passed": 0,
    "incomplete": 0,
    "no_work": 0,
    "not_reported": 0,
    "other": 0,
    "total": 18,
    "source_aliases": [
      "STAT 701"
    ]
  }
]
```

### statistics

#### gpa

3.761

#### graded

142

#### counts

* 95
* 31
* 13
* 1
* 2
* 0
* 0

### grade conflicts

None recorded.

### evidence

#### history

* [/data/e243353dcb7d79b7247ced91d69443ef4c2a6349/history/course\_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8-0.json](https://uwcourses.com/data/e243353dcb7d79b7247ced91d69443ef4c2a6349/history/course_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8-0.json)

#### traces

* [/data/e243353dcb7d79b7247ced91d69443ef4c2a6349/traces/course\_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8-0.json](https://uwcourses.com/data/e243353dcb7d79b7247ced91d69443ef4c2a6349/traces/course_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8-0.json)

#### meetings

* [/data/e243353dcb7d79b7247ced91d69443ef4c2a6349/meetings/course\_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8-0.json](https://uwcourses.com/data/e243353dcb7d79b7247ced91d69443ef4c2a6349/meetings/course_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8-0.json)

#### results

* [/data/e243353dcb7d79b7247ced91d69443ef4c2a6349/results/course\_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8-0.json](https://uwcourses.com/data/e243353dcb7d79b7247ced91d69443ef4c2a6349/results/course_98c8f7223e5e4f977f8032c8-0.json)

### revision

e243353dcb7d79b7247ced91d69443ef4c2a6349

## context

### all

#### term



#### gpa

3.76056338028169

#### count

142

#### university

##### size

3704

##### gpa Percentile

59

##### count Percentile

63

##### median Count

96

##### histogram

| range   | count | current |
| ------- | ----- | ------- |
| 0.0–0.4 | 0     | false   |
| 0.4–0.8 | 0     | false   |
| 0.8–1.2 | 0     | false   |
| 1.2–1.6 | 0     | false   |
| 1.6–2.0 | 0     | false   |
| 2.0–2.4 | 1     | false   |
| 2.4–2.8 | 18    | false   |
| 2.8–3.2 | 340   | false   |
| 3.2–3.6 | 1112  | false   |
| 3.6–4.0 | 2233  | true    |

#### departments

```json
[
  {
    "subject": "STAT",
    "comparison": {
      "size": 60,
      "gpaPercentile": 71,
      "countPercentile": 51,
      "medianCount": 138.5,
      "histogram": [
        {
          "range": "0.0–0.4",
          "count": 0,
          "current": false
        },
        {
          "range": "0.4–0.8",
          "count": 0,
          "current": false
        },
        {
          "range": "0.8–1.2",
          "count": 0,
          "current": false
        },
        {
          "range": "1.2–1.6",
          "count": 0,
          "current": false
        },
        {
          "range": "1.6–2.0",
          "count": 0,
          "current": false
        },
        {
          "range": "2.0–2.4",
          "count": 0,
          "current": false
        },
        {
          "range": "2.4–2.8",
          "count": 0,
          "current": false
        },
        {
          "range": "2.8–3.2",
          "count": 8,
          "current": false
        },
        {
          "range": "3.2–3.6",
          "count": 25,
          "current": false
        },
        {
          "range": "3.6–4.0",
          "count": 27,
          "current": true
        }
      ]
    }
  }
]
```

### terms

#### 1074

##### term

1074

##### gpa

3.5277777777777777

##### count

18

##### departments

| subject | comparison |
| ------- | ---------- |
| STAT    |            |

#### 1112

##### term

1112

##### gpa

3.892857142857143

##### count

28

##### departments

| subject | comparison |
| ------- | ---------- |
| STAT    |            |

#### 1182

##### term

1182

##### gpa

3.840909090909091

##### count

22

##### departments

| subject | comparison |
| ------- | ---------- |
| STAT    |            |

#### 1192

##### term

1192

##### gpa

3.607142857142857

##### count

28

##### departments

| subject | comparison |
| ------- | ---------- |
| STAT    |            |

#### 1224

##### term

1224

##### gpa

3.8823529411764706

##### count

17

##### departments

| subject | comparison |
| ------- | ---------- |
| STAT    |            |

#### 1242

##### term

1242

##### gpa

4

##### count

11

##### departments

| subject | comparison |
| ------- | ---------- |
| STAT    |            |

#### 1254

##### term

1254

##### gpa

3.6666666666666665

##### count

18

##### departments

| subject | comparison |
| ------- | ---------- |
| STAT    |            |

### benchmarks

#### all

##### school

###### size

3704

###### gpa

3.635282750755212

###### top Share

80.39793207181239

###### count

96

##### STAT

###### size

60

###### gpa

3.5458369397663634

###### top Share

74.71658481517133

###### count

138.5

#### terms

##### 1074

###### school

###### size

695

###### gpa

3.3616924722887376

###### top Share

63.22509110105764

###### count

69

##### 1112

###### school

###### size

805

###### gpa

3.3737773184830386

###### top Share

63.91039244872789

###### count

66

###### STAT

###### size

14

###### gpa

3.242406375705586

###### top Share

57.34276482904032

###### count

68.5

##### 1182

###### school

###### size

1025

###### gpa

3.474159360325319

###### top Share

70.34861441764347

###### count

69

###### STAT

###### size

24

###### gpa

3.4023821420534044

###### top Share

65.90044412864664

###### count

65.5

##### 1192

###### school

###### size

1077

###### gpa

3.50327634323125

###### top Share

72.44641925727845

###### count

67

###### STAT

###### size

27

###### gpa

3.349790708103796

###### top Share

62.94637491184082

###### count

74

##### 1224

###### school

###### size

1171

###### gpa

3.5627882428500937

###### top Share

76.37271640560496

###### count

64

###### STAT

###### size

27

###### gpa

3.4650681869904103

###### top Share

69.88606041738046

###### count

74

##### 1242

###### school

###### size

1295

###### gpa

3.595302892737449

###### top Share

78.36291889885307

###### count

67

###### STAT

###### size

34

###### gpa

3.4558758327213903

###### top Share

69.10154863162224

###### count

55

##### 1254

###### school

###### size

1289

###### gpa

3.6126423469389106

###### top Share

79.48050408754871

###### count

66

###### STAT

###### size

28

###### gpa

3.4752654121860003

###### top Share

68.35873780152826

###### count

70

## instructor Trends

```json
[
  {
    "uid": "instructor_1dadda4e80ccda3b00d60248",
    "name": "FANGFANG WANG",
    "count": 50,
    "terms": [
      {
        "term": "1182",
        "count": 22,
        "sections": 1,
        "gpa": 3.840909090909091
      },
      {
        "term": "1192",
        "count": 28,
        "sections": 1,
        "gpa": 3.607142857142857
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "uid": "instructor_a6ceb9dbcbb9539d970f1bbb",
    "name": "CHRISTOPHER GEOGA",
    "count": 29,
    "terms": [
      {
        "term": "1242",
        "count": 11,
        "sections": 1,
        "gpa": 4
      },
      {
        "term": "1254",
        "count": 18,
        "sections": 1,
        "gpa": 3.6666666666666665
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "uid": "instructor_028f5fb1497f12d2f925d786",
    "name": "YAZHEN WANG",
    "count": 28,
    "terms": [
      {
        "term": "1112",
        "count": 28,
        "sections": 1,
        "gpa": 3.892857142857143
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "uid": "instructor_e15e1a245191e94e0325d0f0",
    "name": "JUN ZHU",
    "count": 18,
    "terms": [
      {
        "term": "1074",
        "count": 18,
        "sections": 1,
        "gpa": 3.5277777777777777
      }
    ]
  },
  {
    "uid": "instructor_65cbac2c9da9e3d3236992ef",
    "name": "ZHENGJUN ZHANG",
    "count": 17,
    "terms": [
      {
        "term": "1224",
        "count": 17,
        "sections": 1,
        "gpa": 3.8823529411764706
      }
    ]
  }
]
```

## following

| code     | title                         |
| -------- | ----------------------------- |
| STAT 801 | ADVANCED FINANCIAL STATISTICS |
